Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.903518 2.006165 2.112675 2.231701 2.361306 2.498498 2.655146
2026-01-18 1.778673 1.932619 2.100104 2.296999 2.523625 2.778129 3.088179
2026-01-25 1.646195 1.830770 2.039079 2.294089 2.601367 2.964376 3.432955
2026-02-01 1.524180 1.725906 1.960216 2.256546 2.627388 3.084806 3.706208
2026-02-08 1.407742 1.616190 1.863746 2.184960 2.599377 3.129085 3.880714
2026-02-15 1.326445 1.541640 1.802349 2.148622 2.608182 3.215797 4.115406
2026-02-22 1.269432 1.492225 1.767195 2.140574 2.649803 3.345884 4.421788
2026-03-01 1.211193 1.437163 1.720388 2.112201 2.659173 3.428883 4.665337
2026-03-08 1.137774 1.358696 1.638536 2.030686 2.587148 3.386584 4.707309
2026-03-15 1.099384 1.323349 1.610821 2.020287 2.613599 3.489191 4.990543
2026-03-22 1.091093 1.326480 1.633674 2.080378 2.745336 3.761946 5.594967
2026-03-29 1.064117 1.303264 1.619257 2.086001 2.795307 3.910106 6.003197
2026-04-05 1.040371 1.285361 1.613889 2.108370 2.879048 4.132711 6.611891
2026-04-12 1.020617 1.272225 1.614771 2.140521 2.982046 4.402693 7.379573
2026-04-19 0.987288 1.238883 1.585322 2.124989 3.006690 4.539209 7.905205
2026-04-26 0.949305 1.197452 1.542214 2.085638 2.988242 4.594953 8.266173
2026-05-03 0.906186 1.147171 1.484059 2.019436 2.919013 4.547657 8.377145
2026-05-10 0.875201 1.112978 1.447991 1.985968 2.903431 4.601378 8.748487
2026-05-17 0.853369 1.090996 1.428892 1.978249 2.931911 4.744645 9.387213
2026-05-24 0.828189 1.063259 1.399966 1.952819 2.926403 4.817924 9.859484
2026-05-31 0.792067 1.018574 1.343957 1.880319 2.830300 4.692365 9.737609
2026-06-07 0.774198 0.999950 1.326727 1.871016 2.849888 4.814773 10.383787
2026-06-14 0.772977 1.005575 1.346529 1.924369 2.990771 5.220951 12.073032